According to the National Hurricane Center, the Caribbean hurricane to the west has an even worse structure, but today it is strongly suspected that the tropical storm could turn into a pony.
“If I look at conventional satellite data normally, I think this system is already a tropical storm,” said NHC hurricane expert Eric Blake. “There is a large ball of convection near the center, and banding features are formed on most quarters of the system.
National Hurricane Center8 I advise that heavy rain and tropical-typhoon-storm winds begin late tonight on islands in the southern Caribbean that meteorologists call the Potential Tropical Cyclone Two. A National Oceanic and Atmospheric Cyclone Hunter Flight confirmed that the system has not yet been classified as a tropical storm and has no epicenter.
The system is located approximately 185 miles east-southeast of Curaao, with winds of up to 30 mph blowing west at a maximum speed of 40 mph, according to the 8am update. With the system unorganized, hurricane experts suspect it could change in the next 12 hours.
“One of the reasons we have not been able to close a cycle so far is the very fast speed,” Blake said. But the models show that the disturbance stabilizes in the evening. After that, the system should not be intensified for two days. By Friday, it could strengthen again, Blake said.
As of 8 a.m., there is a tropical storm warning in Trinidad and Tobago; Grenada and its dependencies; Venezuela Islands, Daisy Islands, Koche and Cuba; And Bonaire, Curaக்கோao, Aruba Islands and coastal areas of Venezuela and Colombia.
It has tropical-storm-force winds that extend outward up to 60 miles from the center of the system. If named, it would be called Tropical Storm Pony. The NHC offers a 90% chance of formation over the next five days.
“On the forecast route, the system will move today across the southern Caribbean Sea and off the north coast of Venezuela, near Colombia’s Guajira Peninsula, and through the southwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday,” the NHC said.
Meteorologists are keeping an eye on the other two obstacles with the paradox of becoming a tropical system.
Overnight rain and thunderstorms in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Further development is possible, but the system is currently in a state of disarray. As it moves slowly west across the northern Gulf of Mexico and towards Texas, the NHC offers a 40% chance of developing into a tropical system over the next two to five days.
“It could become a short-term tropical depression near the coast before moving inland,” the NHC said. “Regardless of growth, heavy rain is likely in some parts of the Texas coast this weekend.”
Also, a tropical wave over the Central Tropical Atlantic creates irregular rainfall and thunderstorms. This wave is expected to interact with and form another tropical wave later this week. The NHC wave offered a chance of turning 10% over the next two days and 30% over the next five days into a depression.
If any of these systems develop, it will be the second system of the season after tropical storm Alex, which rained nearly a foot in some parts of Florida earlier this month.
After Pony, the next two names are Colin and Daniel.
A tropical system can be termed a tropical depression without developing to a tropical-storm state. This system will not be named until it blows at 39 mph and will not be named as a hurricane until it blows at 74 mph.
2022 Season June 1-Nov. Following the 30 storms named 21 of 2020 and 2021 are predicted to be 30 years longer than another nature for storms.
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